End of Year Report: Analysis of Metro New Construction Median Sale Price Per Square Foot in San Tampa, FL (Jan-Nov 2023)

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End of Year Report: Analysis of Metro New Construction Median Sale Price Per Square Foot in San Tampa, FL (Jan-Nov 2023)

Insights into San Tampa Real Estate Market: End of Year Analysis 2023

Introduction:
As we conclude the year 2023, it is imperative to review the performance of the real estate market in San Tampa, Florida, particularly focusing on the median sale price per square foot for newly constructed homes. This report, based on data sourced from Zillow, aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of the trends, highs and lows, percentage changes, annual and quarterly averages, and insights into whether it was a favorable time for buying or selling homes in San Tampa during 2023. Additionally, we will endeavor to offer predictions for the real estate market in 2024 based on the observed patterns.

Analysis:
Below is the table summarizing the monthly median sale price per square foot for newly built houses in San Tampa, FL from January to November 2023, rounded off to two decimal places:

Month Median Price Per SF (US$)
January 196.99
February 194.59
March 203.81
April 201.88
May 203.42
June 204.41
July 199.89
August 198.08
September 202.12
October 193.95
November 188.44

Trends and Relationships:
From the data, we observe fluctuations in the median sale price per square foot throughout the year. The highest recorded median price was in June at $204.41 per square foot, while the lowest was in November at $188.44 per square foot. This indicates variability in the market demand and supply dynamics, potentially influenced by factors such as economic conditions, interest rates, and housing inventory.

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Percentage Changes:
The table below outlines the monthly percentage changes in the median sale price per square foot:

Month Percentage Change (%)
February -1.21
March 4.76
April -0.95
May 0.76
June 0.48
July -2.20
August -0.91
September 2.03
October -4.28
November -2.82

Annual Average:
The annual average median sale price per square foot for 2023 is calculated as follows:

(196.99 + 194.59 + 203.81 + 201.88 + 203.42 + 204.41 + 199.89 + 198.08 + 202.12 + 193.95 + 188.44) / 11 = $198.55 per square foot.

Quarterly Averages:
Quarterly averages for 2023 are as follows:

  • Q1: $198.13
  • Q2: $202.37
  • Q3: $200.03
  • Q4: $194.47

Closing and Ending Figures:
The closing median sale price per square foot for December 2023 is not available in the provided data. However, the ending figure for November 2023 is $188.44 per square foot.

Conclusion:
Based on the analysis, 2023 witnessed fluctuations in the median sale price per square foot for newly constructed homes in San Tampa, FL. While there were periods of growth, particularly in March and June, there were also declines, notably in October and November. The overall annual average suggests a relatively stable market with minor fluctuations.

Advice to Clients:
For potential buyers, particularly those looking for investment opportunities, periods of decline such as October and November might present favorable buying opportunities, potentially offering properties at lower prices. However, thorough market research and due diligence are essential to identify properties with good growth potential.

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For sellers, it is advisable to monitor market trends closely and consider listing properties during periods of growth to maximize returns. However, pricing strategies should be realistic and aligned with prevailing market conditions to attract potential buyers.

Market Predictions for 2024:
While it is challenging to predict market trends with absolute certainty, several factors may influence the real estate market in San Tampa, FL in 2024. These include economic indicators, interest rates, housing inventory, and demographic trends. Continued economic growth and stability, coupled with favorable mortgage rates, could stimulate demand for housing, potentially driving prices upwards. However, uncertainties such as changes in government policies or unforeseen economic events may introduce volatility into the market.

In conclusion, while 2023 presented both opportunities and challenges for buyers and sellers in the San Tampa real estate market, careful analysis and strategic decision-making are essential for navigating the market dynamics in 2024. By staying informed and adapting to changing conditions, stakeholders can position themselves to capitalize on trends.


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