Cost of Building a Mall or Shopping Complex Per Square Metre in South Africa 2025 to 2026: An Analysis of the AECOM Guide

Business Centre For Sale in Fountains Estate Business Park in Jeffreys Bay, Eastern Cape, SA – GFA 1,200m² – Land Size 3,213m², Extras 40 Parkings – Price R11,500,000
Executive Summary
The development of retail spaces in South Africa is a complex and capital-intensive endeavour, requiring meticulous planning and accurate financial forecasting. The AECOM Africa Property & Construction Cost Guide 2024/25 serves as a critical benchmark for developers, investors, architects, and quantity surveyors navigating this landscape.
Introduction: The AECOM Cost Guide as an Industry Standard
In the realm of property development and construction, reliable cost data is the bedrock upon which feasible projects are built. The AECOM Africa Property & Construction Cost Guide is a prestigious and widely recognised publication that provides estimated building rates for a variety of sectors across the African continent.
Defining the Scope: What the AECOM Rates Include and Exclude
A critical first step in utilising any cost guide is to understand precisely what is covered by the quoted rates. The AECOM guide provides this clarity, ensuring that comparisons and budgets are made on a like-for-like basis.
Inclusions in the Retail Building Rates
According to the guide, the provided rates for retail constructions include:
- The core building structure.
- Standard building services.
- Appropriate tenant allowances and specifications for national chain stores.
Exclusions from the Quoted Rates
The rates per square metre exclude several major cost components that must be budgeted for separately. These are:
- Site Infrastructure Development
- Parking Structures
- Professional Fees
- Value-Added Tax (VAT)
- Future Escalation
- Loss of Interest (Finance Costs)
Detailed Breakdown of Retail Construction Costs per m²
The AECOM guide categorises retail developments into six distinct types based on their size and trading model.
Retail Centre Type | Size Range (GLA) | Cost per m² (ZAR) | Primary Trading Model |
---|---|---|---|
Local Convenience Centres | Not exceeding 5,000m² | R 10,500 – R 13,800 | Outward |
Neighbourhood Centres | 5,000 – 12,000m² | R 11,500 – R 15,200 | Outward |
Community Centres | 12,000 – 25,000m² | R 12,600 – R 16,100 | Outward |
Minor Regional Centres | 25,000 – 50,000m² | R 13,300 – R 17,100 | Inward |
Regional Centres | 50,000 – 100,000m² | R 14,100 – R 17,100 | Inward |
Super Regional Centres | Exceeding 100,000m² | R 15,500 – R 20,000 | Inward |
Source: AECOM Africa Property & Construction Cost Guide 2024/25
Analysis of Retail Categories and Their Cost Drivers
1. Local Convenience Centres (Up to 5,000m² | R10,500 – R13,800/m²)
These are the smallest retail formats, typically anchored by a supermarket or a large convenience store and supplemented by a handful of specialty tenants.
2. Neighbourhood Centres (5,000 – 12,000m² | R11,500 – R15,200/m²)
Slightly larger than convenience centres, these often feature a small supermarket as a anchor and a broader range of tenants.
3. Community Centres (12,000 – 25,000m² | R12,600 – R16,100/m²)
This category represents a significant step up in scale. A community centre is usually anchored by a large supermarket and a discount department store.
4. Minor Regional Centres (25,000 – 50,000m² | R13,300 – R17,100/m²)
This is where the development transitions definitively into the “mall” category. Minor regional centres are inward trading.
5. Regional Centres (50,000 – 100,000m² | R14,100 – R17,100/m²) & Super Regional Centres (100,000+m² | R15,500 – R20,000/m²)
These are the largest shopping destinations in a region or country. They feature multiple major anchors, a vast array of specialty stores, extensive food courts, and large cinema complexes.
The Critical Cost of Parking
As established, parking is a major excluded cost that must be calculated separately. The choice of parking solution has a substantial impact on the total project budget.
Parking Type | Description | Cost per m² (ZAR) |
---|---|---|
Parking on Grade | Surface-level parking lots. | R 750 – R 950 |
Structured Parking | Multi-level parking decks built above ground. | R 5,200 – R 5,800 |
Parking in Semi-Basement | Partially below-ground parking. | R 5,800 – R 7,800 |
Parking in Basement | Fully below-ground parking. | R 6,100 – R 10,700 |
Source: AECOM Africa Property & Construction Cost Guide 2024/25
Putting It All Together: Calculating a Hypothetical Project Budget
To illustrate how the AECOM guide is used, let’s model a preliminary budget for a hypothetical Community Retail Centre with a Gross Leasable Area (GLA) of 20,000m².
1. Core Building Cost:
Mid-point cost: (R12,600 + R16,100) / 2 = R14,350/m²
Total Core Cost: 20,000m² x R14,350/m² = R287,000,000
2. Parking Cost:
Assume a requirement for 1,000 bays at ~30m²/bay = 30,000m² of parking.
Using Structured Parking at a mid-point cost: (R5,200 + R5,800) / 2 = R5,500/m²
Total Parking Cost: 30,000m² x R5,500/m² = R165,000,000
3. Subtotal Construction Cost (excl. VAT):
R287,000,000 (Building) + R165,000,000 (Parking) = R452,000,000
4. Professional Fees (Est. 12% of Construction Cost):
R452,000,000 x 12% = R54,240,000
5. Site Works & Infrastructure (Est. 10% of Construction Cost):
R452,000,000 x 10% = R45,200,000
6. Subtotal before VAT:
R452,000,000 + R54,240,000 + R45,200,000 = R551,440,000
7. Value Added Tax (VAT at 15%):
R551,440,000 x 15% = R82,716,000
8. Total Estimated Project Cost (Very Preliminary):
R551,440,000 + R82,716,000 = R634,156,000
Conclusion: Strategic Implications for Developers and Investors
The AECOM Africa Property & Construction Cost Guide 2024/25 provides an indispensable, data-driven foundation for navigating the South African retail development sector. The key takeaway is that cost is a function of ambition and scale.
Disclaimer: This article is an analysis based solely on a single-page extract from the AECOM Africa Property & Construction Cost Guide 2024/25. The actual costs for any specific project will vary based on location, design, market conditions, and a multitude of other factors. This information should be used for preliminary guidance only and must not replace detailed cost advice from a registered professional quantity surveyor. All costs are exclusive of VAT and are subject to change.