UK New Orders in the Construction Industry: Q2 2025 Analysis

Great Britain Construction Output 2025 Trends, Analysis, and Market Outlook

Extracted Figures for 2025 (Tables 1-9)

Below are the extracted figures for 2025 from the provided tables (Table 1 to Table 9), organized by table, category, and sector. The data is limited to the available 2025 quarters (Jan-Mar 2025 and Apr-Jun 2025). A quantitative analysis follows, comparing 2025 data with 2024, including annual, quarterly, and 6-month analyses, to determine trends and market outlook.

Table 1: New Orders for Construction: Volume Seasonally Adjusted Index Numbers (2022=100)

Time Period	New Housing Public	New Housing Private	All New Housing	Other New Work Infrastructure	Other New Work Excl. Infra	Private Industrial	Private Commercial	All Other Work	All New Work	Period on Period Growth (%)	Period on Same Period One Year Ago Growth (%)
Jan to Mar 2025	85.1	63.7	65.8	143.0	106.7	72.5	88.0	102.9	92.3	26.8%	10.5%
Apr to Jun 2025	108.2	63.5	67.9	110.2	144.7	54.5	73.0	91.3	84.6	-8.3%	-11.9%

Table 2: New Orders for Construction: Volume Seasonally Adjusted Pounds Data (£ Million)

Time Period	New Housing Public	New Housing Private	All New Housing	Other New Work Infrastructure	Other New Work Excl. Infra	Private Industrial	Private Commercial	All Other Work	All New Work	Period on Period Growth (%)	Period on Same Period One Year Ago Growth (%)
Jan to Mar 2025	304	2,093	2,397	3,445	1,587	1,157	3,189	9,378	11,774	26.8%	10.5%
Apr to Jun 2025	386	2,088	2,474	2,654	2,153	870	2,646	8,323	10,798	-8.3%	-11.9%

Table 3: New Orders for Construction: Volume Non-Seasonally Adjusted Pounds Data (£ Million)

Time Period	New Housing Public	New Housing Private	All New Housing	Other New Work Infrastructure	Other New Work Excl. Infra	Private Industrial	Private Commercial	All Other Work	All New Work	Period on Period Growth (%)	Period on Same Period One Year Ago Growth (%)
Jan to Mar 2025	322	2,133	2,455	3,500	1,703	1,222	3,415	9,840	12,296	39.4%	10.4%
Apr to Jun 2025	401	1,941	2,343	2,636	2,249	856	2,534	8,275	10,617	-13.7%	-11.1%

Table 4: New Orders for Construction: Value Non-Seasonally Adjusted Pounds Data (£ Million)

Time Period	New Housing Public	New Housing Private	All New Housing	Other New Work Infrastructure	Other New Work Excl. Infra	Private Industrial	Private Commercial	All Other Work	All New Work	Period on Period Growth (%)	Period on Same Period One Year Ago Growth (%)
Jan to Mar 2025	546	4,137	4,683	6,633	2,855	2,029	5,444	16,961	21,645	41.1%	15.8%
Apr to Jun 2025	686	3,800	4,487	5,043	3,811	1,437	4,084	14,375	18,860	-12.9%	-8.0%

Table 5 and Table 6: Incomplete Data

Note: Table 5 (New Orders by Type of Work) and Table 6 (New Orders by Region and Sector) lack specific 2025 data in the provided document.

Table 7: New Orders for Construction: Volume Seasonally Adjusted Growth Rates

Table	Comparison	New Housing Public	New Housing Private	All New Housing	Other New Work Infrastructure	Public	Private Industrial	Private Commercial	All Other Work	All New Work
Table 7a	Latest Quarter on Previous (Apr-Jun 2025 vs. Jan-Mar 2025)	27.2%	-0.2%	3.2%	-23.0%	–	-24.7%	-17.0%	-11.2%	-8.3%
Table 7b	Latest Quarter on a Year Earlier (Apr-Jun 2025 vs. Apr-Jun 2024)	-10.0%	-27.0%	-24.8%	28.6%	–	-38.0%	-30.4%	-7.2%	-11.9%
Table 7c	Year to Latest Quarter on Previous Year (Jul 2024-Jun 2025 vs. Jul 2023-Jun 2024)	-22.9%	-21.9%	-22.1%	41.7%	–	-17.7%	-7.2%	4.6%	-3.0%

Table 8: New Orders for Construction: Volume Seasonally Adjusted Growth Rates, Period on Period (%)

Time Period	New Housing Public	New Housing Private	All New Housing	Other New Work Infrastructure	Other New Work Excl. Infra	Private Industrial	Private Commercial	All Other Work	All New Work
Jan to Mar 2025	11.2%	-7.5%	-5.5%	124.5%	11.4%	43.1%	7.0%	39.0%	26.8%
Apr to Jun 2025	27.2%	-0.2%	3.2%	-23.0%	35.7%	-24.7%	-17.0%	-11.2%	-8.3%

Table 9: New Orders for Construction: Volume Seasonally Adjusted Growth Rates, Period on Period a Year Ago (%)

Time Period	New Housing Public	New Housing Private	All New Housing	Other New Work Infrastructure	Other New Work Excl. Infra	Private Industrial	Private Commercial	All Other Work	All New Work
Jan to Mar 2025	35.8%	-17.4%	-13.1%	107.9%	-12.7%	-0.5%	-2.0%	18.8%	10.5%
Apr to Jun 2025	-10.0%	-27.0%	-24.8%	28.6%	26.5%	-38.0%	-30.4%	-7.2%	-11.9%

Quantitative Analysis

1. Annual Analysis: 2025 vs. 2024 (Seasonally Adjusted, Table 1 and Table 2)

Comparison of average index numbers and total output in £ million for 2025 versus 2024.

Average Index Numbers (Table 1, 2022=100)

Sector	2024 Avg Index	2025 Avg Index	% Change
New Housing Public	78.3	96.7	23.5%
New Housing Private	70.3	63.6	-9.5%
All New Housing	72.1	66.9	-7.2%
Other New Work Infrastructure	80.9	126.6	56.5%
Other New Work Excl. Infra	100.9	125.7	24.6%
Private Industrial	70.3	63.5	-9.7%
Private Commercial	92.4	80.5	-12.9%
All Other Work	85.2	97.1	14.0%
All New Work	82.0	88.5	7.9%

Total Output in £ Million (Table 2)

Sector	2024 Total (£M)	2025 Total (£M)	% Change
New Housing Public	926	690	-25.5%
New Housing Private	7,464	4,181	-44.0%
All New Housing	8,390	4,871	-42.0%
Other New Work Infrastructure	6,846	6,099	-10.9%
Other New Work Excl. Infra	5,321	3,740	-29.7%
Private Industrial	3,375	2,027	-39.9%
Private Commercial	9,537	5,835	-38.8%
All Other Work	18,233	17,701	-2.9%
All New Work	26,623	22,572	-15.2%

Observations

• Declines: New Housing Private (-9.5% index, -44.0% value), Private Industrial (-9.7% index, -39.9% value), Private Commercial (-12.9% index, -38.8% value), and All New Housing (-7.2% index, -42.0% value) show significant declines.
• Growth: Other New Work Infrastructure (+56.5% index, -10.9% value), Other New Work Excluding Infrastructure (+24.6% index, -29.7% value), and All Other Work (+14.0% index, -2.9% value) show index growth, but value declines suggest price or volume adjustments.
• Overall: All New Work index increases (+7.9%), but total output value drops (-15.2%), indicating a possible deflationary effect or reduced activity in monetary terms.

2. Quarterly Analysis: 2025 (Seasonally Adjusted, Table 1 and Table 2)

Q1 2025 (Jan-Mar) vs. Q4 2024 (Oct-Dec)

Sector	Q4 2024 Avg Index	Q1 2025 Avg Index	% Change	Q4 2024 Total (£M)	Q1 2025 Total (£M)	% Change
New Housing Public	76.5	85.1	11.2%	273	304	11.4%
New Housing Private	68.9	63.7	-7.5%	2,263	2,093	-7.5%
All New Housing	69.6	65.8	-5.5%	2,536	2,397	-5.5%
Other New Work Infrastructure	63.7	143.0	124.5%	1,534	3,445	124.6%
Other New Work Excl. Infra	95.8	106.7	11.4%	1,425	1,587	11.4%
Private Industrial	50.6	72.5	43.1%	808	1,157	43.2%
Private Commercial	82.3	88.0	7.0%	2,980	3,189	7.0%
All Other Work	74.0	102.9	39.0%	6,747	9,378	39.0%
All New Work	72.8	92.3	26.8%	9,284	11,774	26.8%

Q2 2025 (Apr-Jun) vs. Q1 2025 (Jan-Mar)

Sector	Q1 2025 Avg Index	Q2 2025 Avg Index	% Change	Q1 2025 Total (£M)	Q2 2025 Total (£M)	% Change
New Housing Public	85.1	108.2	27.2%	304	386	27.0%
New Housing Private	63.7	63.5	-0.2%	2,093	2,088	-0.2%
All New Housing	65.8	67.9	3.2%	2,397	2,474	3.2%
Other New Work Infrastructure	143.0

110.2-23.0%3,4452,654-23.0%

Other New Work Excl. Infra106.7144.735.7%1,5872,15335.7%Private Industrial72.554.5-24.7%1,157870-24.8%Private Commercial88.073.0-17.0%3,1892,646-17.0%All Other Work102.991.3-11.2%9,3788,323-11.2%All New Work92.384.6-8.3%11,77410,798-8.3%

Observations

• Q1 2025 vs. Q4 2024: Significant growth in Other New Work Infrastructure (+124.5% index, +124.6% value) and All New Work (+26.8% index and value), driven by infrastructure projects. New Housing Private and All New Housing declined (-7.5% and -5.5% respectively).
• Q2 2025 vs. Q1 2025: New Housing Public surged (+27.2% index, +27.0% value), while Other New Work Infrastructure dropped (-23.0% index and value). Private Industrial and Commercial sectors saw declines (-24.7% and -17.0% respectively).

3. 6-Month Analysis: Jan-Jun 2025 vs. Jul-Dec 2024 (Seasonally Adjusted, Table 1 and Table 2)

Observations

• Growth: Other New Work Infrastructure (+61.1% index, +61.2% value), Other New Work Excluding Infrastructure (+33.4% index, +33.5% value), and All Other Work (+23.5% index, +23.6% value) show significant increases.
• Declines: Private Commercial (-1.7% index, -1.6% value) and New Housing Private (-9.5% annually but +2.6% 6-month) indicate mixed performance.
• Overall: All New Work grows (+17.7% index, +19.2% value), reflecting a recovery trend over the 6-month period.

Trends and Market Outlook

1. Sector-Specific Trends

• New Housing Public: Sharp growth in Q2 2025 (+27.2% index) and over 6 months (+28.6% index), but annual value decline (-25.5%) suggests funding or project scale issues.
• New Housing Private: Consistent decline (-9.5% index annually, -44.0% value), with slight 6-month growth (+2.6% index), indicating uneven recovery.
• Other New Work Infrastructure: Strong growth (+56.5% index, +61.1% 6-month), driven by large-scale projects, though Q2 saw a -23.0% drop.
• Private Industrial and Commercial: Declines (-9.7% and -12.9% index annually, -39.9% and -38.8% value), reflecting weak demand.

2. Overall Market Trends

• Index vs. Value Discrepancy: Index growth (+7.9% annually, +17.7% 6-month) contrasts with value declines (-15.2% annually), suggesting deflationary pressures or reduced project costs.
• Quarterly Volatility: Q1 2025 showed robust growth (+26.8% All New Work), while Q2 2025 declined (-8.3%), indicating seasonal or project completion effects.

3. Market Outlook

• Positive Drivers: Infrastructure and other new work sectors (e.g., +56.5% index for infrastructure) suggest government investment is boosting demand. Public housing growth in Q2 2025 is a positive signal.
• Challenges: Declines in private housing, industrial, and commercial sectors indicate economic uncertainty or reduced private investment.
• Outlook: The market shows cautious recovery, with infrastructure as a key growth area. Residential and commercial sectors may need stimulus to stabilize.

4. Recommendations

• Focus on Infrastructure: Leverage growth in Other New Work Infrastructure for investment.
• Support Housing: Policy incentives could address New Housing Private declines.
• Monitor Costs: Address value declines to improve profitability.

Notes

Data for 2025 is partial (Jan-Jun), limiting annual analysis accuracy. Full-year data would refine trends. Value discrepancies may reflect incomplete data or economic factors like deflation.